Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.678599 0.778982 0.888368 1.016318 1.161784 1.321928 1.511509
2024-12-22 0.512366 0.643648 0.799185 0.996657 1.240311 1.530705 1.902684
2024-12-29 0.408788 0.557985 0.748831 1.009915 1.356796 1.800743 2.410866
2025-01-05 0.320924 0.473592 0.683397 0.991057 1.428732 2.026713 2.903026
2025-01-12 0.264048 0.418948 0.646423 1.002003 1.540468 2.321181 3.533680
2025-01-19 0.211324 0.359166 0.590328 0.974053 1.590102 2.534020 4.080936
2025-01-26 0.183366 0.331947 0.577974 1.009321 1.739425 2.915125 4.937007
2025-02-02 0.162920 0.312839 0.574682 1.057616 1.915875 3.362469 5.962278
2025-02-09 0.140289 0.285117 0.551361 1.066777 2.026262 3.714923 6.878687
2025-02-16 0.120548 0.258667 0.525277 1.065695 2.116828 4.043645 7.797323
2025-02-23 0.104688 0.236569 0.503222 1.067778 2.212216 4.391815 8.796013
2025-03-02 0.091097 0.216362 0.481152 1.065575 2.297833 4.731303 9.821364
2025-03-09 0.081517 0.203247 0.471944 1.089403 2.441765 5.207258 11.186949
2025-03-16 0.070980 0.185766 0.450277 1.082917 2.521551 5.566278 12.367714
2025-03-23 0.064065 0.175524 0.442989 1.107164 2.671500 6.090002 13.961223
2025-03-30 0.055796 0.160100 0.420816 1.093085 2.733082 6.433176 15.213272
2025-04-06 0.050332 0.150863 0.411980 1.109505 2.867938 6.955097 16.929225
2025-04-13 0.043493 0.136325 0.387095 1.081551 2.891645 7.227644 18.112867
2025-04-20 0.040520 0.132215 0.388774 1.122502 3.092648 7.940123 20.418566
2025-04-27 0.038340 0.130004 0.395228 1.177332 3.337462 8.788837 23.158504
2025-05-04 0.034800 0.122788 0.386341 1.188406 3.468722 9.374666 25.324153
2025-05-11 0.031303 0.114910 0.374084 1.187820 3.568354 9.893352 27.385774
2025-05-18 0.028315 0.108033 0.363562 1.190539 3.677705 10.451172 29.618766